Now, during the Covid-19 pandemic, is a particularly apt time to reflect on the difficulty of optimally making decisions when we don’t have perfect information. I’ve written a game that informs users, in hopefully a lighthearted way, about the statistical issues concerning this process. It should be fairly self-explanatory, but I’ll try to write up some notes shortly.

Continue reading

The Science

During the Covid-19 pandemic, it has become a mantra that politicians are following the science. What could this mean, and is it an unequivocally good thing for science and society?

Continue reading

Why Guermantes?

Guermantes is a place, a family name, and a leitmotif that pervades Marcel Proust’s magnificent novel In Search of Lost Time; faced with chosing a name for my blog, a tribute to my favourite novel seemed as good as any.

Continue reading

Early Years

Excerpts from our previous family blog that tried to record some of the early days of our children, but succombed to our being too tired to write anything coherent.

Continue reading

Author's picture

Gavin Kelly

Mathematician ● Statistician

Biostatistician @The Francis Crick Institute

London, UK